Total 144 Posts
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202447] The rush to bring forward US imports ahead of the imminent Trump tariffs and potential strike on the US East Coast has so far failed to raise Transpacific freight rates. Rates to the West Coast slipped by 12% last week, even with more than a dozen ships stuck outside Canadian ports as carriers continued to slash rates as capacity utilisation has dropped to their lowest level this year. Although cargo demand remains s
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202446] The outcome of the US presidential elections will drive further instability in the container markets, with US imports poised to rise ahead of the potential imposition of new tariffs. Based on data collected since 2018, the cargo front loading could raise US container imports by as much as 10% to 15% in the next 3 months. Although this will drive up freight rates in the short term, the longer term impact of any trade
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202445] Carriers have pushed ahead with the 1 November rate hikes with smaller increases than initially planned but they have at least reversed the continuous declines since July that has seen the SCFI and CCFI shed 45% and 37% of their values. Carriers will struggle to retain the rate hikes with cargo demand still weak in the seasonally weak November period in the absence of more capacity cuts. Although capacity utilisation
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202443] Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd’s increased their full year profit guidance on the back of stronger than expected 3Q performance, but their operating margins continue to lag behind their Asian peers who are expected to post superior EBIT margins when final 3Q numbers are released starting with ONE later this week. The improved earnings outlook failed to lift TS Line’s IPO’s price with the company’s shares to start trading in
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202443] Container freight rates have dropped continuously in the past 3 month with the SCFIS Shanghai to North Europe index down by 65% from its peak in July but EC freight futures for December are now trading at a 45% premium to the current spot rates, indicating an imminent inflection point for the freight market. Although freight rates are expected to reverse their declines in November as carriers implement a new series
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202442] Freight rates have continued their decline with the slack season now in full swing. The heavy front-loading of holiday season cargo for the US and Europe that have driven up shipping rates since May are now working in reverse but carriers have still not adjusted vessel capacity for the winter season with only limited blank sailings planned in the next 6 weeks. This is clearly seen in the Asia-North Europe, US West
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202441] The US East Coast dockworkers’ strike ended after the ILA agreed a 61.5% wage hike over 6 years, far in excess of the 32% increase that the ILWU secured for their 2022-2028 US West Coast master contract. Although congestion at East Coast ports surged to their highest levels since 2022 at the end of the 3-day strike, the vessel queue is clearing up quickly after all the affected ports resumed operations on Friday. Wi
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202440] The US East Coast dockworkers strike will begin on 1 October 2024, throwing the container shipping market into turmoil with significant uncertainty over the duration of the industrial action and lack of US government action to stop the strike. Carriers have done little to deal with the situation, with some of them scrambling to apply port disruption surcharges only at the last minute and ad hoc USEC port omissions wi
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202439] Carriers continued to slash freight rates ahead of China’s Golden Week holidays with heavy discounts offered across all routes. Rates on the Asia-Europe route came under the heaviest pressure, with Transpacific rates to the US East Coast also dropping sharply as the ILA dockworker strike on the US East Coast looks certain to proceed on 1 October. The shift in cargo volumes to the US West Coast has picked up pace but
Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202438] The ILA dockworkers’ strike will be pivotal for the container markets in the coming weeks, as it will determine the direction that freight rates will take in October. The SCFI has dropped by 33% since its last peak on 5 July and remain under pressure after 2 consecutive 8% WoW declines. Cargo volumes have weakened ahead of the Golden Week holidays, with no signs of a pre-holiday surge. Capacity utilisation levels hav