Markets/Trades

Total 311 Posts

Markets

Daily CoFIF: 2025-01-23

Longer-dated contracts continue to rebound, primarily due to short covering as traders speculate on the schedule of liners' return to Red Sea. FAK quotations from liners have remained largely unchanged, with liners still holding at the low $3,000 level, consistent with the current EC2502 price. However, vessel utilization continues to trend downward.

Markets

Daily CoFIF: 2025-01-22

The longer-dated contracts rebounded with high volume as traders re-assessed the schedule for liners' return to the Red Sea. Meanwhile, CMA CGM announced that the "CMA CGM COLUMBA will sail through the Suez Canal to call at the port of Jeddah as part of a single ad hoc call. Vessels on the EPIC service will therefore not systematically transit through the Suez Canal." ONE has revised its online spot quotation from $2,228 to $3,100 per FEU to remain in the pack with other liners. However, freigh

Port Congestion

25 Week 03: Port Congestion Watch

Port congestion continues to hold up 8.5% of the global fleet at the end of last week, with European and Southeast Asian ports experiencing worsening delays ahead of the new alliance reshuffle that will take place in early February. Very high yard utilization is reported across all main European ports, with Rotterdam under particular scrutiny as the ECT labour dispute threatens to spiral into strikes although no confirmed dates have been announced. Although market attention has shifted to the e

Markets

25 Week 03: Freight Futures Watch

EC freight futures slid further following the Gaza ceasefire agreement, pushing the forward curve further into backwardation. The SCFIS spot index fell by 14.5% week-on-week, but forward rates are expected to drop by a further 55%-65% over the next 12 months. Average daily trading volume rebounded by 36% week-on-week, exceeding 75,000 lots per day, while open interest rose by 11%, approaching 2024 highs. The EC2502 contract held its ground with a relatively small 2% drop but trading volumes dro

Markets

25 Week 03: Freight Rates Watch

Freight rates to North Europe continued to slip with the SCFI falling by 6.6% while the SCFIS dropped by 14.5%. Although most carriers are holding their rate quotations through mid-February with Far East offices to be shut for the Lunar New Year holidays, rates are still under pressure with vessel utilization already dipping ahead of the holidays and carriers are reported to be unsuccessful in building up any significant roll pool before the holidays. Further rate deterioration is expected with

Markets

Daily CoFIF: 2025-01-16

The EC experienced a sell-off this morning following the ceasefire deal in Gaza. While it remains uncertain when the liners will return to the Suez/Red Sea, most EC contracts are already trading at levels not seen since mid-December 2023. There has been no new utilization data since yesterday, and the liner's FAK online quotations have decreased.

Markets

Daily CoFIF: 2025-01-15

EC contracts continued to decline as traders anticipated a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas before the end of March. The near-term fundamentals in the physical market are also weak, as the pre-Lunar New Year cargo rush has been insufficient to counter the highest capacity deployment on the Far East to North Europe route in two years, resulting in falling head haul vessel utilization. Liners have continued to slash their online quotations. Traders expressed their bearish outlook, primari

Markets

25 Week 02: Freight Futures Watch

Longer-dated container freight futures contracts for April to December 2025 fell by 5-12% week-over-week, with the futures market in steep backwardation as freight rates are expected to drop by 55 to 65% below current spot rates for most of 2025. The SCFIS recorded its second successive decline this year, dropping by a further 3.8% after last week’s 3.6% fall. The resolution of the ILA contract negotiations on the US East Coast removed the only potential catalyst for a freight rate rally, with

Markets

25 Week 02: Freight Rates Watch

Asia-North Europe SCFI rates slipped by 14.5% last week, effectively erasing all the gains that carriers have secured in December. Although capacity utilization remains strong, the average capacity on the North Europe route in January remains at a 2 year high as carriers try to hold their volumes ahead of the new alliance reshuffle next month. The OCEAN Alliance’s launch of the new Loop 3 service from April will add up to 5% to overall FE-North Europe capacity, setting the stage for a fresh rou

Markets

Daily CoFIF: 2025-01-10

The freight futures made a same-day U-turn yesterday and edged up a bit more today after the OCEAN Alliance yesterday announced additional blank sailings for February. However, the liners continue to slash their freight rate quotations for shipments leaving in the next few weeks. Utilization has continued to trend downward as weekly capacity reached a 12-month high. The SCFI Europe is expected to report a double-digit decline after the market closes today.

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