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MarketPulse

Market Pulse – 2022 Week 31

Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202231] Chinese military drills in the Taiwan Strait last week did not disrupt container traffic in the region with no vessel diversions reported and port congestion continuing to ease across all main Chinese ports. Freight rates continued to drop due to weaker demand in the US and Europe, despite strong Chinese export figures reported for July. Rolling 4 week average capacity are at their highest levels in 2022, as carrier

Services

ESL starting JBS

Emirates Shipping Lines is starting a new Jebel Ali Bahrain Shuwaikh Service (JBS) calling at Jebel Ali, Bahrain, Shuwaikh, Jebel Ali. The service started with 1,678 teu ESL VICTORIA at Jebel Ali on 18 August 2022. Another vessel, 1,341 teu ESL ZANZIBAR, will be deployed to JBS as from 23 August 2022 at Jebel Ali to this service on weekly frequency.

Markets

China Is Still Gaining Share in Exports

China's market share of global port throughput increased marginally in the last four years despite of the US Tariff on the Chinese exports and the lock-downs at China's coastal manufacturing hubs. The port throughput numbers do not show obvious trend of China's losing market share in the exports as oppose to what some in the market have expected. China's market share of global port throughput increased from 33.2% in 2017 to 34.2 in 2021. Over the same period, South East Asia, which is widely ex

Companies

Maersk 2Q Receivables Jumped

Maersk's 22Q2 results beat capital market's estimate by a large margin. Actual EPS was $464 comparing to the highest estimate of $405 (source: Refinitiv I/B/E/S). Liner segment was still the key driver where Liner EBIT up 21% QoQ, which may be ahead of the industry average in 22Q2 on Maersk's higher-than-peers contract mix. Contract rates outperformed the spot market in the past few months. Such trend may continue for the rest of this year as spot rates could be under further pressure on a pot

Markets

Taiwan Calls Possibly Affected By Military Drill

Xinhua News Agency announced overnight that PLA will conduct military drills between 4 August and 7 August in areas surrounding Taiwan. We have found that 186 ports calls by 174 container ships/675k TEU capacity may be affected. Please see attached list for details of Trade/Operators/Services/Ships that are due to depart during the affected period. Download excel file [https://www.linerlytica.com/uploads/twspc/TaiwanCalls0804-0807.xlsx?utm_source=20220803]

Markets

TP Landscape Changed since 2019

The transpacific carriers landscape has changed significantly since 2019, with competition remaining very keen amongst the incumbent carriers even as newcomers carved out a 4% share of the market. MSC has been the most aggressive carrier, chalking up a 160% increase in liftings in the first 6 months of 2022 compared to the same period in 2019. However, MSC has struggled to maintain the growth momentum since the start of the year as it is heavily reliant on the weakening spot market. At the o

North Asia Led Congested Capacity Down

Global port congestion has continued to recede, due mainly to continued improvements at Chinese ports. Waiting times at all of the main Chinese ports are down to 1 day or less, with the total capacity waiting at North Asia ports down by 50% from its July peak. North American ports remain the most critical congestion hotspot accounting for 39% of the global congestion, with North Asia’s share reduced from 24% to 20% while Europe/Med ports increased marginally from 19% to 20%. The other regions

Markets

TP Spot Rates Below Contracts

Transpacific freight rates have dropped further, with the SCFI assessment dropping to $6,694/feu but rates of $6,000/feu are now being offered by carriers which will continue to drive down the various spot rate indicators in the weeks ahead. There are no signs of rates rebounding in August, leaving very little room for rates to rally before the start of the winter slack season in October. Spot rates are now firmly lower than 12 month contract rates signed in May (ranging from $7,500 to $10,500

Ports

Chinese port through up 2.6% YoY in 22H1

Chinese port volumes grew by 2.6% in the first half of 2022 despite the negative impact of the lockdowns across several major Chinese cities this year. The overall port volumes are partly inflated due to the shift from trucking to barge movements. Performance was mixed amongst the main ports, with Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hong Kong, Lianyungang and Yingkou all recording negative growth. Ningbo reported the largest gains of 8.7%, largely due to the diversion of cargo from Shanghai that was hit by l

MarketPulse

Market Pulse – 2022 Week 30

Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202230] Freight rates are continuing to weaken into August, with no peak season volume surge. Total vessel capacity departing from Asia has continued to increase with easing congestion at Chinese ports releasing more capacity on the linehaul routes last week. Capacity to the US East Coast in particular has risen to a record high, even as demand is softening with high retail inventories weighing down demand while port congest

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